Mark_Friedenbach comments on Will AGI surprise the world? - Less Wrong
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Read the OP, I didn't make any boisterous claims. I simply said UFAI is 2-5 years away, focused effort, and 10-20 years away otherwise. I therefore believe it important that FAI research be refocused on near-term solutions. I state so publicly in order to counter the entrenched meme that seems to have infected everyone here, saying that AI is X years away, where X is some arbitrary number that by golly seems like a lot, in the hope that some people who encounter the post consider refocusing on near-term work. What's wrong with that?
Disregard my reply. I really shouldn't be posting from my phone at 2 AM. Such a venture rarely ends well.
Yeah, I've been there before. No worries ;)