gwern comments on Open thread, 23-29 June 2014 - Less Wrong

3 Post author: David_Gerard 23 June 2014 07:21AM

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Comment author: gwern 24 June 2014 02:31:48AM 4 points [-]

I'm choosing to ignore that possibility to clarify the exposition of what I think is going on. Problems like that are what I'm referring to when I preface:

And we can't explain all of this away as the result of illusory correlations being throw up by the standard statistical problems with findings such as small n/sampling error, selection bias, publication bias, etc.

Even if we had enormous clean datasets showing correlations to whatever level of statistical-significance you please, you still can't spin the straw of correlation into the gold of causation, and the question remains why.