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ShardPhoenix comments on Happiness and Children - Less Wrong
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I was thinking more about principles (ie, what would I want people to do) rather than what is actually likely to happen.
In my opinion, there are no principles that are not tied to outcomes. There is no point having a principle against doing X if it will never be the case that the people doing X are going to get a bad result.
Should there be a principle against homosexual sex because we don't want to run out of humans? I'd venture to say more bad than good arises from principled thinking like that. More utility is lost than is gained when principle is not tied to outcomes.