IlyaShpitser comments on [QUESTION]: What are your views on climate change, and how did you form them? - Less Wrong

5 Post author: VipulNaik 08 July 2014 02:52PM

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Comment author: IlyaShpitser 08 July 2014 08:53:20PM *  4 points [-]

I don't have any problems with the physics of climate change, that seems pretty clear.

I am worried about drawing conclusions about policy from predictive models. Causal modeling of time series data is very hard (according to at least some stats folks I asked who work with time series data). I don't know much about it, myself. I also don't know much about climate modeling.