tgb comments on [QUESTION]: What are your views on climate change, and how did you form them? - Less Wrong

5 Post author: VipulNaik 08 July 2014 02:52PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (143)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: tgb 10 July 2014 11:38:43AM 3 points [-]

It's likely that a disproportionate account of optimization of human welfare has occurred in the last few centuries. Moreover people are mobile and the variation in temperatures over the surface of the earth is greater than over a few thousand years. So humans are likely to have optimized their location to approximately optimize their welfare.

Comment author: Lumifer 28 July 2014 04:34:34PM 2 points [-]

So humans are likely to have optimized their location to approximately optimize their welfare.

This is VERY technology-dependent.

Only a hundred years ago southern Florida was considered not a fit place for people to live in, being, basically, a swamp infested by alligators and malaria mosquitoes.

Comment author: Alsadius 16 July 2014 08:02:50PM 1 point [-]

Population shifts in the last century have been ludicrously massive, with no real ill effect. If there's climatological reason, we can do so again.

Comment author: ThisSpaceAvailable 26 July 2014 05:04:53AM -1 points [-]

If the shifts cost a few billion dollars, that likely would hard to measure. So I guess the question is what rises to "real" ill effects, and what is "ludicrously massive". I think most people would consider the shift in population from Africa to America during the seventeenth and eighteenth century to have involved significant real ill effect, and that involved only a small fraction of the global population.

Comment author: Alsadius 28 July 2014 03:23:26PM 3 points [-]

The ill effect had very little to do with the shipping, and a whole lot to do with what was done with the people who were shipped. If the sugar plantations had been in Sierra Leone, it wouldn't have been any more humane.