But the overall motion is much less than one might think.
So you are saying that the political views of populations are largely stable. Sure. But what does it have to with either democracy or the Central Limit Theorem?
Not just stable. Moderate, rarely obsessed with single issues, and in retrospect they're usually pretty good at making wise decisions on the broad strokes(even if they're bad at micropolicy - which makes sense, because so few people care about it). It's for the same reasons as the CLT, which is why I named it - the distinguishing characteristics and individual madnesses of voters cancel each other out, and you're left with a signal whose characteristics are defined by broad statistical characteristics, and not the quirks of a small group.
Note: Please see this post of mine for more on the project, my sources, and potential sources for bias.
I have written a couple of blog posts on my understanding of climate forecasting, climate change, and the Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) hypothesis (here and here). I also laid down the sources I was using to inform myself here.
I think one question that a number of readers may have had is: given my lack of knowledge (and unwillingness to undertake extensive study) of the subject, why am I investigating it at all, rather than relying on the expert consensus, as documented by the IPCC that, even if we're not sure is correct, is still the best bet humanity has for getting things right? I intend to elaborate on the reasons for taking a closer look at the matter, while still refraining from making the study of atmospheric science a full-time goal, in a future post.
Right now, I'm curious to hear how you formed your views on climate change. In particular, I'm interested in answers to questions such as these (not necessarily answers to all of them, or even to only these questions).