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Nectanebo comments on Six Plausible Meta-Ethical Alternatives - Less Wrong
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Yeah, I was thinking of Goertzel as well.
So you don't think MIRI's work is all that useful? What probability would you assign to hard-takeoff happening of the speed they're worried about?
Indistinguishable from zero, at least with current levels of technology. The mind is an immensely complex machine capable of processing information orders of magnitude faster than the largest HPC clusters. Why should we expect an early dumb intelligence running on mediocre hardware to recursively self-improve so quickly? The burden of proof rests with MIRI, I believe. (And I'm still waiting.)