private_messaging comments on Too good to be true - Less Wrong

24 Post author: PhilGoetz 11 July 2014 08:16PM

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Comment author: DanielLC 20 July 2014 05:58:39AM 2 points [-]

That part was just him noticing his confusion. The only way to figure out what the real confidence levels were would be to try and find the studies, which is exactly what he did.

Comment author: private_messaging 20 July 2014 09:47:58AM *  4 points [-]

I read his post twice and I still don't see him having figured out the real confidence levels or claiming to have.

edit: besides, Phil's own claims don't even meet the 95% confidence, and god only knows out of how big of a pool he fished this bias example from, and how many instances of 'a few studies find a link but most don't' he ignored until he came up with this.