James_D._Miller comments on Torture vs. Dust Specks - Less Wrong

39 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 30 October 2007 02:50AM

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Comment author: James_D._Miller 30 October 2007 03:39:26PM 14 points [-]

Torture,

Consider three possibilities:

(a) A dusk speck hits you with probability one, (b) You face an additional probability 1/( 3^^^3) of being tortured for 50 years, (c) You must blink your eyes for a fraction of a second, just long enough to prevent a dusk speck from hitting you in the eye.

Most people would pick (c) over (a). Yet, 1/( 3^^^3) is such a small number that by blinking your eyes one more time than you normally would you increase your chances of being captured by a sadist and tortured for 50 years by more than 1/( 3^^^3). Thus, (b) must be better than (c). Consequently, most people should prefer (b) to (a).

Comment author: timujin 24 October 2014 12:33:52PM 6 points [-]

You know, that actually persuaded me to override my intuitions and pick torture over dust specks.

Comment author: Jiro 24 October 2014 02:38:19PM 3 points [-]

You don't even have to go that far. Replace "dust specks" with "the inconvenience of not going outside the house" and "tiny chance of torture" with "tiny chance that being outside the house will lead to you getting killed".

Comment author: timujin 26 October 2014 10:12:46AM 1 point [-]

Yeah, I understood the point.