hamnox comments on Group Rationality Diary, August 1-15 - Less Wrong

4 Post author: therufs 01 August 2014 08:44PM

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Comment author: hamnox 03 August 2014 08:56:36PM 2 points [-]

In Ham Land...

  • Have given up on two coursera courses which I started late, and continued to get further behind in as time went on for reasons.
  • Just turned my daily 20 min. psychology book reading habit back on. We'll see how that goes.
  • Now dedicating 20 min every Tuesday to murphy-proofing common and terrible outcomes I've googled.
  • Added a habit to draw some visualizations of VOI/EV calculations, doing that pretty much every weekday. I'm hoping to a.) get in the habit of thinking about these, b.) force myself to tone down perfectionism in art and guestimating, and c.) have these cool visualizations hanging up in my room to reference!
  • Also pulling the misc. notes from the neurobio coursera course to make a reference booklet. I doubt I'll ever look at it again after I finish, but it helps me remember. Maybe 60% chance that it'll be nice enough to give to someone else.
Comment author: Metus 03 August 2014 09:11:59PM 1 point [-]

Now dedicating 20 min every Tuesday to murphy-proofing common and terrible outcomes I've googled.

What do you mean by that? Preparing for catastrophic but probable outcomes?

Added a habit to draw some visualizations of VOI/EV calculations, doing that pretty much every weekday. I'm hoping to a.) get in the habit of thinking about these, b.) force myself to tone down perfectionism in art and guestimating, and c.) have these cool visualizations hanging up in my room to reference!

Could you give an example?

Comment author: hamnox 04 August 2014 05:37:48PM 0 points [-]

I would be delighted to explain!

I was referring to preparing for catastrophic OR probable outcomes.

I googled "stuff that happens to everybody" and similar queries to compile a list, and I now intend to go through that list and consider what I would have to do to prevent or deal with each eventuality. A lot of the time, the answer is "not signifcant enough EV to be worth doing something about." Some examples of common things I find significant enough to deal with: "Need to write something down, can't find a pen or paper anywhere," or "Running out of toilet paper in the bathroom".

For similar reasons, I googled for the most awful things that can happen to someone and started compiling a list. A lot of it is probably pretty improbable, but if it's sufficiently bad enough it may be worth trying to make that probability even smaller.

For the VOI visualizations

Comment author: Metus 04 August 2014 10:41:01PM *  1 point [-]

I ask because I have a similar project going on. Are you willing to share the progress on the catastrophic things?

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