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Metus comments on Group Rationality Diary, August 1-15 - Less Wrong
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Comments (16)
What do you mean by that? Preparing for catastrophic but probable outcomes?
Could you give an example?
I would be delighted to explain!
I was referring to preparing for catastrophic OR probable outcomes.
I googled "stuff that happens to everybody" and similar queries to compile a list, and I now intend to go through that list and consider what I would have to do to prevent or deal with each eventuality. A lot of the time, the answer is "not signifcant enough EV to be worth doing something about." Some examples of common things I find significant enough to deal with: "Need to write something down, can't find a pen or paper anywhere," or "Running out of toilet paper in the bathroom".
For similar reasons, I googled for the most awful things that can happen to someone and started compiling a list. A lot of it is probably pretty improbable, but if it's sufficiently bad enough it may be worth trying to make that probability even smaller.
For the VOI visualizations
I ask because I have a similar project going on. Are you willing to share the progress on the catastrophic things?
"One of my classmates gets bitten by a horrible monster, and as I scrabble frantically in my mokeskin pouch for something that could help her, she looks at me sadly and with her last breath says, 'Why weren't you prepared?' And then she dies, and I know as her eyes close that she won't ever forgive me -"