Manfred comments on Raven paradox settled to my satisfaction - Less Wrong

8 Post author: Manfred 06 August 2014 02:46AM

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Comment author: Manfred 07 August 2014 04:07:27AM 0 points [-]

I agree. In the first example, it's because if our probability distribution only encompasses two categories, any increase in one is a decrease in the other. In the second example, it's because the ex-super-goth's hypothesis space includes all sorts of relationships between number of black things and number of nonblack things - their preconceptions about the world are different, rather than you just stipulating that they sample non-black things.