cousin_it comments on Quantified Risks of Gay Male Sex - Less Wrong

33 Post author: pianoforte611 18 August 2014 11:55PM

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Comment author: Antisuji 19 August 2014 05:19:01AM *  26 points [-]

While it's probably justified to correct for the sampling bias in prevalence statistics, it's worth pointing out that sexual partners are not sampled uniformly: the prevalence of a given STD will potentially be higher in the population of likely partners than in the general population.

Comment author: cousin_it 19 August 2014 07:43:04AM *  16 points [-]

That's a good point, and probably applies to Mark Manson's guide too. It's similar to the well-known point that your friends are probably more popular than you are, because popular people have more friends.

Comment author: Alexandros 19 August 2014 02:28:13PM 7 points [-]

and of course this is another case of 'just because you hired the top 1% of the CVs you got, doesn't mean that those you hired are in the top 1% of programmers'. Less good programmers are more often looking for a job.

Is there a name for this pattern?

Comment author: James_Miller 19 August 2014 04:25:30PM 12 points [-]

Adverse selection.