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evand comments on Bayesianism for humans: prosaic priors - Less Wrong
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Good call!
Yes, your theory is more prosaic, yet it never occured to me. I wonder whether purposefully looking for boring explanations would help with that.
Also, your theory is actually plausible, fits with some of my observations, so I think that I should look into it. Thanks!
Also beware of comparing a one week Spring break with a particularly memorable or otherwise highly available sample of a week from other times, rather than an actually "typical" week.