paulfchristiano comments on Superintelligence Reading Group - Section 1: Past Developments and Present Capabilities - Less Wrong
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Here is another way of looking at things:
You might object to any one of those lines of arguments on their own, but taken together the story seems compelling to me (at least if one wants to argue "We should take seriously the possibility of explosive growth.")
Oh, I completely agree with the prediction of explosive growth (or at least its strong likelihood), I just think (1) or something like it is a much better argument than 2 or 3.