James_Miller comments on Calibrating your probability estimates of world events: Russia vs Ukraine, 6 months later. - Less Wrong

19 Post author: shminux 28 August 2014 11:37PM

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Comment author: James_Miller 29 August 2014 01:46:05PM 4 points [-]

This is how you overcome the Schelling point -- by doing a calculated very small step, and then calling your opponent irrational if he wants to react.

This Yes, Prime Minster video is relevant: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IX_d_vMKswE