DanArmak comments on Calibrating your probability estimates of world events: Russia vs Ukraine, 6 months later. - Less Wrong
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It hasn't been practiced. If it starts being practiced, however, it may be as harmful as Ilya claims, so his argument deserves a response. But saying:
Is not evidence because it hasn't been really practiced so far.
Also:
I'm not claiming anything about other abstractions, some of which definitely have force, just this one.