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HalMorris comments on Calibrating your probability estimates of world events: Russia vs Ukraine, 6 months later. - Less Wrong
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That is true, and how much of Putin's estimate of Obama is due to relentless right-wing propaganda saying he's weak on everything?
I'm not convinced he's failed to do anything useful that say GWB would have done (or any up and coming GOP leader). I think a big problem we have now is we're in umpteen situations in which there's hardly any clear cut winning move.