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Wei_Dai comments on Causal decision theory is unsatisfactory - Less Wrong
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A version of this problem was discussed here previously. It was also brought up during the decision theory workshop hosted by MIRI in 2013 as an open problem. As far as I know there hasn't been much progress on it since 2009.
I wonder if it's even coherent to have a math intuition which wouldn't be forcing UDT to cooperate (or defect) in certain conditions just to make 2*2 be 4 , figuratively speaking (as ultimately you could expand any calculation into an equivalent calculation involving a decision by UDT).