Nornagest comments on Open thread, September 15-21, 2014 - Less Wrong

6 Post author: gjm 15 September 2014 12:24PM

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Comment author: Nornagest 17 September 2014 06:57:12PM *  6 points [-]

I'll bet a thousand 2014 dollars at even odds that it's less than a quarter of that.

(Clarification: I'm talking about the population of the US, as per the PredictionBook entry, not of North America as per Moldbug's quote; the population of the latter is already over 500 million. Should probably stipulate present borders too, just in case. 2 billion isn't credible in any case, though.)