gjm comments on Link: quotas-microaggression-and-meritocracy - Less Wrong

-7 Post author: Lexico 19 September 2014 10:18PM

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Comment author: gjm 20 September 2014 07:56:14PM -1 points [-]

you're assigning a high predictive ability to academic performance, while I don't even assign it a very high correlation.

Academic performance is one of the things known to the faculty (and the same between the "male" and "female" conditions); it is not the only one. The relevant question is: How much predictive power does the totality of the information provided have, and conditioned on that how much predictive power does the sex of the applicant have? It looks to me as if the answers, on any account of sex differences that I find credible, are "quite a bit" and "scarcely any".

Comment author: DanArmak 21 September 2014 08:16:01AM 3 points [-]

By "academic performance" I was referring to all of these bullet points:

  • what degree a person got from what institution
  • what their grade point average was
  • what their GRE scores are
  • what was written about them by a faculty member writing a letter of recommendation

Which (from your summary) I understand is pretty much all of the information in the application letter.

I'm not claiming that sex differences have predictive power; I'm claiming that academic performance doesn't have as much power as we'd like and recruiters have to look for more info.

Comment author: gjm 21 September 2014 09:00:05AM -2 points [-]

For sure. My apologies if I somehow gave the impression of disagreeing with that. The second half of what I called the "relevant question" above is of course the real key here, and it sounds as if maybe we agree about that.