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Jeff_Alexander comments on Superintelligence Reading Group 2: Forecasting AI - Less Wrong
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According to this week's Muehlhauser, as summarized by you:
What about the thousand year estimates? Rarity / outliers?
Yeah, I'm just saying the median estimates probably don't differ by that many decades - the thousand year estimates are relatively common, but don't seem to be median for any groups that I know of.