Aleksander comments on Open thread, Sept. 29 - Oct.5, 2014 - Less Wrong

6 Post author: polymathwannabe 29 September 2014 01:28PM

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Comment author: khafra 03 October 2014 05:17:38PM 3 points [-]

Alien-wise, most of the probability-mass not in the "Great Filter" theory is in the "they're all hiding" theory, right? Are there any other big events in the outcome space?

I intuitively feel like the "they're all hiding" theories are weaker and more speculative than the Great Filter theories, perhaps because including agency as a "black box" within a theory is bad, as a rule of thumb.

But, if most of the proposed candidates for the GF look weak, how do the "they're all hiding" candidates stack up? What is there, besides the Planetarium Hypothesis and Simulationism? Are there any that don't require a strong Singleton?

Comment author: Aleksander 04 October 2014 04:49:53AM 2 points [-]

I liked this short story on that topic, which I believe was written by Yvain: http://raikoth.net/Stuff/story1.html