Toggle comments on Questions on Theism - Less Wrong

23 Post author: Aiyen 08 October 2014 09:02PM

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Comment author: Aiyen 15 October 2014 07:19:28PM 0 points [-]

Thanks for the detailed response!

  1. There are miracle stories in many religious traditions, proving that false claims show up in purported scriptures all the time. I haven't heard about a lot of modern accounts of non-Christian miracles though; if you have, could you send me the links? That could be substantial evidence.

  2. Good point. Do you have any details about the "evaporation"? What actually happened in some of these cases, and how they got mistaken for miracles?

  3. Hmm, I'm going to research Peter Popoff now...

  4. Chinese Whispers I can believe, but many of the miracle accounts I've heard were written by the eyewitnesses. Maybe my priors for human honesty and reliability are too high?

Comment author: Toggle 15 October 2014 10:32:23PM 0 points [-]

Chinese Whispers I can believe, but many of the miracle accounts I've heard were written by the eyewitnesses. Maybe my priors for human honesty and reliability are too high?

By some estimates, replicability in scientific cancer research is about 11%. We can reasonably assume that reports of miraculous events have at least as many flaws as laboratory experiments.

Comment author: Aiyen 16 October 2014 08:27:46PM *  2 points [-]

Okay, that's extremely unexpected. I'm going to need to perform a major update.

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