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KnaveOfAllTrades comments on Meetup : Bath: Introduction and PredictionBook - Less Wrong
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Currently expecting at fewest two others with joint probability >70%, so I'll still do the original day. But I'll bear the next week in mind; we might do two weeks in a row.
Sorry, I'm actually in bath the weekend after that (oops). My use of the word 'definitely' seems to not have been properly probability-calibrated in this case.