gwillen comments on 2014 Less Wrong Census/Survey - Call For Critiques/Questions - Less Wrong

18 Post author: Yvain 11 October 2014 06:39AM

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Comment author: gwern 11 October 2014 05:41:29PM *  29 points [-]
  • I suggest a basilisk question, as usual.
  • I'd also like OCEAN/Big Five restored. The results from last time weren't very definitive and more data would be helpful.
  • Given the recent SSC debate on how effective MIRI is, it might be interesting to ask something about opinions of MIRI's effectiveness in pursuing its mission: just asking how much people donated is insufficient since one might donate faute de mieux, and IIRC the modal donation is $0 in the first place.
  • Perhaps the AI projection questions could be replaced by the same question-set used in "Future progress in artificial intelligence: A poll among experts", VC Müller, N Bostrom? Buys one comparability with their survey responses; it would be very interesting and intriguing if LWers turned out to be less extreme.
Comment author: gwillen 12 October 2014 04:20:17AM 2 points [-]

I strongly agree with the basilisk suggestion; have you provided Yvain with a specific question and set of answers to use, per his request, or can you do so?

Or would you not be satisfied with including it as a Super Extra Bonus Question, wanting it to be in the main body of the survey?

Comment author: gwern 12 October 2014 06:24:51PM 2 points [-]

have you provided Yvain with a specific question and set of answers to use, per his request, or can you do so?

I believe I did so, but Yvain is a smart enough cookie that I don't really need to draw up a list of exact phrasings. The question is not how exactly the question will be written, the question is whether such a question will be allowed at all.

Or would you not be satisfied with including it as a Super Extra Bonus Question, wanting it to be in the main body of the survey?

If it is to serve its intended purpose, it would be much better to get it in the main body of the survey to defang the sample size objection.

Comment author: [deleted] 12 October 2014 07:13:25PM 2 points [-]

I believe I did so, but Yvain is a smart enough cookie that I don't really need to draw up a list of exact phrasings.

He said “Please be specific - not "Ask something about taxes" but give the exact question you want me to ask as well as all answer choices.”

Comment author: gwern 12 October 2014 08:00:23PM 3 points [-]

The basilisk question is an exception.

Comment author: lmm 14 October 2014 05:30:37PM 0 points [-]

No it isn't

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