HonoreDB comments on Open thread, Oct. 13 - Oct. 19, 2014 - Less Wrong

5 Post author: MrMind 13 October 2014 08:17AM

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Comment author: Azathoth123 17 October 2014 03:35:54AM 1 point [-]

The idea is that if I donate $100 to the Democratic Party, and you donate $200 to the Republican party (or to their nominees for President, say), the net marginal effect on the election is very similar to if you'd donated $100 and I've donated nothing; $100 from each of us is being canceled out

That the ratios of the marginal benefits of a dollar for the two parties are 1:1 is not at all obvious.

Comment author: HonoreDB 17 October 2014 04:15:16AM 0 points [-]

Sure, but it's really hard to anticipate which side will benefit more, so in expected value they're equal. I'm sure some people will think their side will be more effective in how it spends money...I'll try to persuade them to take the outside view.