PhilGoetz comments on Superintelligence 5: Forms of Superintelligence - Less Wrong

12 Post author: KatjaGrace 14 October 2014 01:00AM

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Comment author: whales 14 October 2014 07:23:33AM 5 points [-]

I measured science and technology output per scientist using four different lists of significant advances, and found that significant advances per scientist declined by 3 to 4 orders of magnitude from 1800 to 2000. During that time, the number of scientific journals has increased by 3 to 4 orders of magnitude, and a reasonable guess is that so did the number of scientists.

I'd be really interested in reading more about this.

Comment author: PhilGoetz 18 October 2014 04:13:22PM 1 point [-]

If you email philgoetz at gmail, I'll send you a draft.

During that time, the number of scientific journals has increased by 3 to 4 orders of magnitude, and a reasonable guess is that so did the number of scientists.

Er, or not. The number of publications per scientist has risen dramatically, but so has the number of authors per paper. I don't know if these cancel each other out.

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