Lumifer comments on Fighting Mosquitos - Less Wrong

17 Post author: ChristianKl 16 October 2014 11:53AM

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Comment author: [deleted] 17 October 2014 04:08:06AM 5 points [-]

Are you more than one million human deaths per year of cautious?

Comment author: trifith 20 October 2014 04:41:35PM 1 point [-]

No, I am not.

I personally rate the probability of catastrophic negative effects of this action as significantly lower than the probability of any negative effects, and the probability of no negative effects.

I am also speaking from a position of ignorance, and I don't like making decisions from ignorance.

I don't know what the ill effects would be, but the benefit is clear. If more cheap information is readily available, I want it (and some has been provided). If some amount of expensive evidence would increase my estimate of catastrophic effects, and that evidence can be clearly defined and gathered, I want it. If only vague, hard to measure risks remain, I say do it.