ChristianKl comments on Crossing the History-Lessons Threshold - Less Wrong
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Comments (65)
My point isn't about disproving individual relations. Plenty of time the true cause will be an unknown unknown. I point is that I distrust the field on a more fundamental level.
Research suggests that making good predictions about the future needs training on making prediction and then exposing yourself to feedback.
If we want to actually do predictions, prediction book is always available.
That's true. Narratives are quite good for remembering data. While I was in school and still believed in history I had no trouble to get the data from a text I read once and integrate it into an essay.
Maybe.
Good idea.
So we agree.