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Salemicus comments on Open thread, Nov. 3 - Nov. 9, 2014 - Less Wrong
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The weather forecasts really were rubbish in the past.
To give one notorious example, a weatherman on Britain's main television station once mocked a member of the public's claim that the country was about to be struck by a hurricane. That very night, Britain was hit by one of the most severe hurricanes of modern times, killing 18 people.