RichardKennaway comments on A Cost- Benefit Analysis of Immunizing Healthy Adults Against Influenza - Less Wrong

14 Post author: Fluttershy 11 November 2014 04:10AM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (81)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: RichardKennaway 11 November 2014 11:41:49AM 3 points [-]

So, with every assumption made in favour of reducing the expected cost of not getting the shot, even more so than in the article, it is still more expensive, on average, than getting the shot.

By a dollar and five cents, according to your calculation. That doesn't seem even worth the time talking about it.

Comment author: CCC 11 November 2014 08:22:53PM 2 points [-]

If that many assumptions are slanted in the direction of conclusion A, and the data is still in favour of conclusion B, even by such a minor amount, then that suggests that conclusion B is (significantly) liklier to be the correct course of action than A.

In other words, once we start factoring in the potential cost of death; the cost to society of your spreading the flu further; assuming an immune system suitable to a human and not to Hercules; then that dollar and five cents is likely to grow to a respectable sum.

Comment author: SilentCal 11 November 2014 04:00:25PM 1 point [-]

Unless he has an above-average income to go with his above-average immune system.

Comment author: ike 13 November 2014 03:21:40AM *  0 points [-]

Wasn't the time to take it included in the costs analysis?

Comment author: RichardKennaway 13 November 2014 09:08:00AM 0 points [-]

Yes, but not the time to read the discussion we're all having. In personal finances, $1.05 is below noise level for anyone not in grinding poverty. I can save that by skipping a coffee.