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roystgnr comments on A Cost- Benefit Analysis of Immunizing Healthy Adults Against Influenza - Less Wrong
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I don't think most effective way to convince a child of getting a child is through rational argument. Appearing really confident is important for convincing but being really confident for the sake of convincing others is not a good habit to have when you seek for the truth.
You don't use rational argument because it's the most effective way to convince a child, you use rational argument because it's the most effective way to teach a child the use of rational argument. (which as a side benefit, eventually makes rational argument the most effective way to convince the child)
Kids notice these things! And not just the 'smart' ones.