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Luke_A_Somers comments on What do you mean by Pascal's mugging? - Less Wrong
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I am pretty sick of 1% being given as the natural lowest error rate of humans on anything. It's not.
In this particular case, we've made balls of stuff much colder than this, though smaller. So not only does this killer effect have to exist, but it also needs to be size-dependent like fission.
If you give me 100 theories as far-fetched as this, I'd be more confident that all of them are false, than that any are true.
Hmm. Our error rate moment to moment may be that high, but it's low enough that we can do error correction and do better over time or as a group. Not sure why I didn't realize that until now.
(If the error rate was too high, error correction would be so error-prone it would just introduce more error. Something analogous happens in quantum error correction codes).