solipsist comments on What do you mean by Pascal's mugging? - Less Wrong

4 Post author: XiXiDu 20 November 2014 04:38PM

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Comment author: solipsist 21 November 2014 12:16:19AM *  3 points [-]

Unless you have a good reason to believe the opposite hypotheses balance each other out to log₁₀(3^^^^3) decimal places, I don't think that line of argument buys you much.

Comment author: RowanE 21 November 2014 08:29:17AM -1 points [-]

I don't think I have to believe that, what's wrong with just being agnostic as to which hypothesis outweighs the other?

Comment author: solipsist 21 November 2014 04:16:08PM *  5 points [-]

The information value of which outcome outweighs the other is HUGE. More expected lives hinge on a 0.0<quintillion zeros>1 shift in the balance of probabilities than would live if we merely colonize the visible universe with humans the size of quarks.