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shminux comments on Narcissistic Contrarianism - Less Wrong
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Self-identified contrarians are best ignored. Those labeled "contrarian" by outsiders might be worth paying more attention to.
I like that - probably a good rule of thumb, although it a stock-picker starts off saying they're a contrarian, I wouldn't necessarily stop listening. I'd also be more specific and say that labeled "contrarian" in an approving way by someone I trust might be worth paying attention to.
But rules of thumb aren't meant to be so wordy, so I still like yours.