Halfwitz comments on Breaking the vicious cycle - Less Wrong

43 Post author: XiXiDu 23 November 2014 06:25PM

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Comment author: Halfwitz 24 November 2014 12:17:40AM *  8 points [-]

For the record, I genuinely object to being thought of as a "highly competent CEO."

But that's exactly what the Dunning-Kruger effect would lead us to expect a highly-competent CEOs to say! s/

non-natural CEO working hard and learning fast and picking up lots of low-hanging fruit but also making lots of mistakes along the way because he had no prior executive experience

To be honest, I didn't mean much by it. Just that MIRI has been more impressive lately, and presumably a good portion of this is due to your leadership.

Comment author: fubarobfusco 24 November 2014 01:46:42AM 11 points [-]

But that's exactly what the Dunning-Kruger effect would lead us to expect a highly-competent CEOs to say!

No. It would lead us to expect that the top quartile would rank themselves well above the median but below their actual scores.

(And then to ask why we're thinking in such coarse granularity as quartiles.)

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