bramflakes comments on Rationality Quotes December 2014 - Less Wrong

8 Post author: Salemicus 03 December 2014 10:33PM

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Comment author: bramflakes 03 December 2014 03:56:16PM *  31 points [-]

When you hear an economist on TV "explain" the decline in stock prices by citing a slump in the market (and I have heard this pseudo-explanation more than once) it is time to turn off the television.

Thomas J. McKay, Reasons, Explanations and Decisions

Comment author: Larks 11 December 2014 02:24:37AM 1 point [-]

I guess technically if a lot of stocks went paid their dividend on the same day (went ex-divvie) you could get a 0.5-1% fall in the stock prices (depending on the dividend yield at the time) without their being a slump - the value of those dividends which have now been paid out is simply no longer part of the market. But I agree wholeheartedly with the sentiment.

Comment author: 27chaos 14 December 2014 01:16:59AM -1 points [-]

I don't know if I agree with this. Suppose the stock market is driven by runaway herd behavior. If that's the case, then an inexplicably bad random perturbation might have cascading effects. Saying that the initial slump in the market is driving further decline seems accurate to me.

Comment author: bramflakes 14 December 2014 01:20:59PM 1 point [-]

That would be a slump in the market caused by a decline in stock prices :)

Comment author: 27chaos 14 December 2014 09:33:17PM 1 point [-]

I don't understand what you're trying to say. As used in the original quote they are interchangeable synonyms.

Comment author: bramflakes 15 December 2014 12:43:53AM 1 point [-]

I was poking fun at that.