CarlShulman comments on [Resolved] Is the SIA doomsday argument wrong? - Less Wrong

5 Post author: Brian_Tomasik 13 December 2014 06:01AM

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Comment author: CarlShulman 15 December 2014 04:59:07AM *  2 points [-]

It has been endorsed by Robin Hanson, Carl Shulman, and Nick Bostrom.

The article you cite for Shulman and Bostrom does not endorse the SIA-doomsday argument. It describes it, but:

  • Doesn't take a stance on the SIA; it does an analysis of alternatives including SIA
  • Argues that the interaction with the Simulation Argument changes the conclusion of the Fermi Paradox SIA Doomsday argument given the assumption of SIA.
Comment author: Brian_Tomasik 15 December 2014 05:03:27AM 2 points [-]

Thanks for the correction! I changed "endorsed" to "discussed" in the OP. What I meant to convey was that these authors endorsed the logic of the argument given the premises (ignoring sim scenarios), rather than that they agreed with the argument all things considered.

Comment author: CarlShulman 15 December 2014 05:16:13AM 2 points [-]

Thanks Brian.

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