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Dentin comments on [Link] The Dominant Life Form In the Cosmos Is Probably Superintelligent Robots - Less Wrong
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The Superintelligent Robot in My Garage, in other words. These conjectures for why ET's have to exist, but we haven't observed them yet, sound increasingly desperate and crazy. People hold on to this belief any way because the advanced ET has become a place-filler for the gods and demons we've recently believed in.
Actually, I don't find these conjectures desperate or crazy at all, because it's what I'd do. Moving off this biological substrate onto something more reliable, hardy, efficient, and copyable seems like a no-brainer level "Good Idea". If there's any advanced intelligent life out there at all, one of its highest priorities is going to be finding more durable substrate to live in than sloppy, unoptimized and non-designed biochemistry.
Point is, most likely there aren't any advanced (that is, starfaring, dysonspherebuilding and so on) civilizations at all.
More and more (as we continue to move up the ladder of technological progress) this is seeming like a valid and plausible hypothesis. Which is very disconcerting to me.
Wouldn't the opposite be more disconcerting?
Having a dyson-sphere-building alien race right next door would be worrisome, but not having any such civilizations at all? That's very worrisome, because it means the Great Filter could be waiting for us.