wedrifid comments on The Affect Heuristic - Less Wrong
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"This may sound crazy to you, oh Statistically Sophisticated Reader, but if you think more carefully you'll realize that it makes perfect sense. A 7% probability versus 10% probability may be bad news, but it's more than made up for by the increased number of red beans. It's a worse probability, yes, but you're still more likely to win, you see. You should meditate upon this thought until you attain enlightenment as to how the rest of the planet thinks about probability."
I snorted rather loudly upon reading this, and sent the quote to a friend of mine. He told me that he was once playing WoW (get thee behind me, Satan!) and there was some sort of task in which you had to try to get an item, and each try was known to have a 1% chance of success. His companion in WoW was convinced that what that meant was: try 100 times, and on the hundredth try you get the item. Why? Because 100x1%=100%. Obviously.
Why do people want Satan to go behind them? Isn't that just asked to be stabbed in the back with a pitchfork? If I thought it would have any effect I'd tend to go for something like "Get the frak away from me, Satan!".
Not 'go to hell'?