Toggle comments on Compartmentalizing: Effective Altruism and Abortion - Less Wrong
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There's a lot of heavy lifting going on behind the scenes in Will MacAskill's thesis, which I'm glad you linked to.
In particular, it's far from obvious that you can rationally construct an uncertainty table about moral 'facts' in the same way that you could for an empirical uncertainty. Can the objective worth of an action be surprising, independent of its form and consequences? The physical state of the fetus is not in question; the 'surprising discovery' here would be that an abortion has some quality of badness, one which is not implied by a subjective observer's desires or a full and complete understanding of the physical system.
If there is such a quality of objective badness or goodness, what properties does it have, and how would you discover those properties? Why should we expect it to operate within standard mathematical axioms in the first place?
The physical state of the fetus is not in question; the 'surprising discovery' here would be that an abortion has some quality of badness, one which is not implied by a subjective observer's desires or a full and complete understanding of the physical system.
I think I have two responses: