Does that stop you regarding a theory as more credible when it's simpler (for equal fidelity to observed evidence)?
It's more credible in the range of data for which it's fidelity has shown it to be more credible. I expect extrapolations outside that range to have less fidelity.
Do you have more specific expectations?
No.
I don't have some grand unified theory.
I just observe that a lot of cosmology seems to be riding on the theory that the red shift is caused by an expanding universe.
Note that I ended my first post with questions, not with claims.
What if it light just loses energy as it travels, so that the frequency shifts lower?
That seems like a perfectly natural solution. How do we know it isn't true?
What would be the implications to the current theories if it were true?
I just observe that a lot of cosmology seems to be riding on the theory that the red shift is caused by an expanding universe.
This seems wrong to be. There's at least two independent lines of evidence for the Big Bang theory besides redshifts -- isotope abundances (particularly for light elements) and the cosmic background radiation.
What if it light just loses energy as it travels, so that the frequency shifts lower?
We would have to abandon our belief in energy conservation. And we would then wonder why energy seems to be conserved exactly in every ...
I am submitting this on behalf of MazeHatter, who originally posted it here in the most recent open tread. Go there to upvote if you like this submission.
Begin MazeHatter:
I grew up thinking that the Big Bang was the beginning of it all. In 2013 and 2014 a good number of observations have thrown some of our basic assumptions about the theory into question. There were anomalies observed in the CMB, previously ignored, now confirmed by Planck:
http://www.esa.int/Our_Activities/Space_Science/Planck/Planck_reveals_an_almost_perfect_Universe
We are also getting a better look at galaxies at greater distances, thinking they would all be young galaxies, and finding they are not:
http://carnegiescience.edu/news/some_galaxies_early_universe_grew_quickly
http://mq.edu.au/newsroom/2014/03/11/granny-galaxies-discovered-in-the-early-universe/
B. D. Simmons et al. Galaxy Zoo: CANDELS Barred Disks and Bar Fractions. Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society, 2014 DOI: 10.1093/mnras/stu1817
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2014/10/141030101241.htm
http://www.nasa.gov/jpl/spitzer/splash-project-dives-deep-for-galaxies/#.VBxS4o938jg
Although it seems we don't have to look so far away to find evidence that galaxy formation is inconsistent with the Big Bang timeline.
http://www.natureworldnews.com/articles/7528/20140611/galaxy-formation-theories-undermined-dwarf-galaxies.htm
http://arxiv.org/abs/1406.1799
Another observation is that lithium abundances are way too low for the theory in other places, not just here:
http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2014/09/140910-space-lithium-m54-star-cluster-science/
It also seems there is larger scale structure continually being discovered larger than the Big Bang is thought to account for:
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2014/11/141119084506.htm
D. Hutsemékers, L. Braibant, V. Pelgrims, D. Sluse. Alignment of quasar polarizations with large-scale structures. Astronomy & Astrophysics, 2014
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2013/01/130111092539.htm
These observations have been made just recently. It seems that in the 1980's, when I was first introduced to the Big Bang as a child, the experts in the field knew then there were problems with it, and devised inflation as a solution. And today, the validity of that solution is being called into question by those same experts:
http://www.physics.princeton.edu/~steinh/0411036.pdf
What are the odds 2015 will be more like 2014 where we (again) found larger and older galaxies at greater distances, or will it be more like 1983?