Cyan comments on Comments on "When Bayesian Inference Shatters"? - Less Wrong
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I like it when I can just point folks to something I've already written.
The upshot is that there are two things going on here that interact to produce the shattering phenomenon. First, the notion of closeness permits some very pathological models to be considered close to sensible models. Second, the optimization to find the worst-case model close to the assumed model is done in a post-data way, not in prior expectation. So what you get is this: for any possible observed data and any model, there is a model "close" to the assumed one that predicts absolute disaster (or any result) just for that specific data set, and is otherwise well-behaved.
As the authors themselves put it:
Thanks for your link!