Lalartu comments on The guardian article on longevity research [link] - Less Wrong
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Comments (27)
A century ago there were scientists who said the same. Just because somebody is working on a problem doesn't mean it will be solved.
Good thing that isn't the argument, isn't it?
Even a century ago they had good reasons to think it was possible. Medicine was getting a lot better VERY quickly. They turned out to be wrong, but I wouldn't say that they were utterly crazy for thinking that they could keep finding low-hanging fruit long enough to work out the underpinnings and solve the problem.
Now, we can see a lot more clearly how far we are from the 'finish line'.
On the other hand, the number of people working on a problem, and the speed with which they are individually able to work, can't be ignored. "Given enough eyes, all bugs are shallow" - Linus Torvalds, talking about something pretty similar (if much, much simpler).