Alsadius comments on Je suis Charlie - Less Wrong

-20 [deleted] 15 January 2015 08:27AM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (72)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: Alsadius 16 January 2015 03:21:12PM 1 point [-]

The method is "set your prior probability equal to society's judgement of its probability". For anything where society as a whole has an opinion at all, it's a better approximation than any other one-piece-of-evidence method around, and is thus a great way to set your priors.

Comment author: Lumifer 16 January 2015 03:59:22PM 2 points [-]

For anything where society as a whole has an opinion at all, it's a better approximation than any other one-piece-of-evidence method around

As a general statement, this doesn't seem to be true. I am also not quite sure what -- in real life -- is a "one-piece-of-evidence method".