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Cyan2 comments on Affective Death Spirals - Less Wrong

31 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 02 December 2007 04:44PM

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Comment author: Cyan2 04 December 2007 04:24:56PM 0 points [-]

At best, out of N formulas, each has a 1/N chance of being correct. (At worst, none of the formulas is correct.)

Technical note: Occam factors (and prior probabilities generally) can cause these chances to deviate from 1/N.