ike comments on Questions from an imaginary statistical methods exam - Less Wrong
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No, the evidence that the keys were found is strong enough to outweigh the problems in the searching method.
No.
Personally, I'd probably check it for fun. It would take less than a minute, and provides enough amusement to be worth the time. I could easily see myself not checking if I forgot, though.
Very confident, let's say >99.9%.
No other hypotheses are raised to my attention. You could ask for hypotheses conditioning on me not really winning, but none of those are likely enough to outweigh the 1/100 million chance of actually winning.
Perhaps I'd check the numbers a few other times, using proxies to rule out the "hacked" hypotheses, but that's only because that's easy to check, not because I would take it seriously.
The point I become confident is after I check the numbers.
Edit: after reading devas's comment: I had assumed that the lottery ticket was state-run and well-known. If not, I would be a lot less confident (in fact, I've already won dozens of these lotteries by virtue of having an email account! Aren't those people who randomly choose email accounts to win money so nice?)