Hello, first I would like to say that I am French, please forgive me my languages mistakes. Next I would like to say that it is a very good article that has the merit of being short and very complete. However, I have one comment: The 4 types of predictions quoted here refer to a current environment in which decisions must be made quickly and in the most efficient way possible. Indeed this is a big part of all our lives but I ask myself, is it the same thing in a quiet environment with time to think, why not put in writing Souvenirs (it is proved that help remembering)? Predictions are they the same to you? For me, philosophically, the reason is an expensive process in time and energy ration used but can give much better results than the rapid reasoning to the at least the merit of being, what is your opinion?

ChapelierdeCheshire