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Nebu comments on Uncritical Supercriticality - Less Wrong
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I would say that is when there is empirical evidence supporting the claim but, try as you might, you can't find any that falsifies it.
I think having a flawed (human) agent using this technique is too susceptible to the agent convincing themselves that they tried hard enough, and so we've just pushed the problem one step back: How do you know when you've tried hard enough.